Annual Report 2005
Home 2005 Highlights Chairman's Statement Overview Management, governance & CSR  
 
  Financial statements
  Risk disclosures
    Insurance Risk
      Introduction
      Non-marine
      UK motor
      Marine
      Aviation
      Amlin Bermuda
      Reinsurance
      Realistic Disaster Scenario Analysis
      Insurance liabilities and reinsurance assets
      Claims development
    Financial Investment Risk
    Credit Risk
  Notes to the accounts

Risk disclosures

Claims development
The table below illustrates the development of the estimate of cumulative claims for Syndicate 2001 after the end of the underwriting year, illustrating how amounts estimated have changed from the first estimate made.

Gross basis
Underwriting Year

2001
£m

2002
£m

2003
£m
2004
£m
2005
£m
Estimate of cumulative claims:
667.9
495.5
554.5
675.2
931.2
At end of underwriting year
605.9
399.1
441.1
665.7
 
One year later
600.1
354.9
375.1
   
Two years later
603.8
343.1
     
Three years later
605.7
       
Four years later          
           
Cumulative payments
477.3
254.8
237.0
335.4
153.5
Estimated balance to pay
128.4
88.3
138.1
330.3
777.7


Net basis
Underwriting Year

2001
£m

2002
£m

2003
£m
2004
£m
2005
£m
Estimate of cumulative claims:
411.0
445.1
489.9
542.6
575.3
At end of underwriting year
398.3
369.2
388.9
493.4
 
One year later
388.3
324.5
331.8
   
Two years later
381.9
311.4
     
Three years later
380.9
       
Four years later          
           
Cumulative payments
275.4
208.3
195.0
226.9
90.4
Estimated balance to pay
105.5
103.1
136.8
266.5
484.9



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