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OPERATING AND FINANCIAL REVIEW / THE COMPANY / DELIVERING VALUE /

UNDERWRITING

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EXPERIENCE
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The classes of business written have been developed over many years and new products are not launched without significant investigation. Even then, the premium income capacity allocated to a new class would initially be low and the profile of the class would be built up slowly and carefully over several underwriting years in order to build confidence and knowledge. Therefore the bulk of the premium income written is on business where Amlin has strong knowledge, expertise and historical data. This assists in the planning and modelling of potential outcomes.

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CYCLE MANAGEMENT OF VOLUME
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Amlin has a premium income capacity allocated to each line of business for each calendar year, but these are not targets. It is clear for all underwriting staff that underpriced business is to be declined and that gross underwriting profit takes precedence over volumes of business. For the syndicate as a whole, this philosophy can be seen in the reduction in gross premium income and market share during the environment of soft pricing.

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The graph above shows an analysis of the underwriting performance, as measured by gross ultimate loss ratios at 31 December 2003, of Amlin’s ongoing business over the period 1993 to 2003.

The orange line shows Amlin’s own market share as a percentage of the market over the same period. There are three important conclusions that can be drawn from this chart. First, Syndicate 2001’s ongoing business has a record of strong outperformance across the cycle. Second, that outperformance is most strongly visible when market conditions are most difficult and overall loss ratios are poor. Third, that Amlin’s market share is highest when market conditions are at their most favourable and, conversely, market share is lowest when loss ratios are at their worst.

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